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	<title>The Hutchens Blog &#187; trade deficit</title>
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		<title>Sandy Hutchens looks at U.S. trade deficit</title>
		<link>http://sandyhutchens.net/2009/08/sandy-hutchens-looks-at-u-s-trade-deficit/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Aug 2009 18:35:06 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[CMHC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deficit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jump in oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oil prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sandy Hutchens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sandy Hutchens looks at U.S. trade deficit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stabilized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade deficit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade gap]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. trade deficit]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sandyhutchens.net/?p=126</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A jump in oil prices helped widen the U.S. trade deficit in June, but a sharp fall in manufactured goods exports and imports appears to have stabilized, a Commerce Department report showed on Wednesday.
The monthly trade gap totaled $27.0 billion, up 4.0 percent from May. The shortfall was smaller than many analysts expected because stronger [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A jump in oil prices helped widen the U.S. trade deficit in June, but a sharp fall in manufactured goods exports and imports appears to have stabilized, a Commerce Department report showed on Wednesday.</p>
<p>The monthly trade gap totaled $27.0 billion, up 4.0 percent from May. The shortfall was smaller than many analysts expected because stronger foreign demand for U.S. goods and services offset some of the impact of higher oil prices.</p>
<p>Both U.S. exports and imports remained sharply below records reached in July 2008, just before the global financial crisis began wreaking a savage toll on international trade.</p>
<p>But &#8220;the sharp decline in U.S. exports and imports of manufactured goods appears to be stabilizing,&#8221; said Frank Vargo, vice president for international economic affairs at the National Association of Manufacturers.</p>
<p>For the fourth month in a row, U.S. manufactured goods exports totaled roughly $67 billion and manufactured goods imports were roughly $93 billion, Vargo said.</p>
<p>The trade gap for the first six months of 2009 totaled nearly $173 billion, down more than 50 percent from the same period last year. Year-to-date exports were down 19.3 percent from 2008, while imports were off 28.8 percent.</p>
<p>The smaller-than-expected June deficit was, by itself, good news for the U.S. economy, which is beginning to show signs of emerging from a recession that began in December 2007.</p>
<p>&#8220;However, other data already released on construction and inventories point to a downward revision&#8221; of second quarter GDP growth to -1.6 percent from -1.0 percent,&#8221; said Nigel Gault, chief U.S. economist at IHS Global Insight.</p>
<p>Looking ahead, the monthly gap between imports and exports should widen in the second half of the year as producers and retailers restock currently lean inventories.</p>
<p>So, unlike the first half of 2009, &#8220;trade will become a drag on growth. But that would be a drag in a context where both exports and imports are growing, as the U.S. and global economies climb out of recession,&#8221; Gault said.</p>
<p>OIL PRICE UP</p>
<p>U.S. imports of goods and services rose 2.3 percent in June to $152.8 billion, the highest since January. Higher oil prices accounted for much of the increase, and imports of consumer products fell to the lowest since November 2005.</p>
<p>The average price for imported oil rose for the fourth straight month to $59.17 per barrel, helping to widen the U.S. trade gap with the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to the highest since October 2008.</p>
<p>U.S. exports rose 2.0 percent in June to $125.8 billion, led by stronger foreign demand for industrial supplies and materials and capital goods.</p>
<p>Exports of foods, feeds and beverages were the highest since October 2008.</p>
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